Improving
Efficiency and Quality
An objective of the Health Maintenance
Organization (HMO) Act of 1973 was to stimulate competition between health plans
in a geographic region. One thought was that each health plan would hire or contract
with a select group of physicians. The physician groups would contract with one
health plan--such as the Kaiser Permanente Physician Group contacts with the
Kaiser Permanente Health Plan. The end result would be health plan competition
that would drive health system efficiency. (Efficient means using the least amount
of medical resources to treat a medical condition and achieve a desired quality
of patient care. Thus, efficiency is a function of unit price, volume of service,
intensity of service, and quality of service.) To date, however, this objective
has not been achieved--except in some isolated instances. Physicians and physician
groups generally contract with the majority of health plans and preferred provider
organizations (PPOs) in a geographic region. Consequently, a health plan or PPO
generally controls no more than 1%-to-10% of a physician's medical practice. The
end result is that 'true' health plan competition has not occurred, and market
efficiency has not really improved. Evidence of this is the current double-digit
annual trend rate. How Provider Networks Developed In the past,
employers and other purchasers demanded that health plans and preferred provide
networks (PPOs) have a good breath and depth of coverage. Health plans and PPOs
responded by contracting with most physicians, physician groups, and hospitals
that accepted a per unit price discount. Health plans and PPOs paid little attention
to overall physician efficiency and quality of care--accepting a price discount,
having a state license to practice medicine, and not having malpractice claims
was good enough. The resulting broad-based provider networks preserved geographic
coverage and minimized practitioner disruption for employees and their dependents.
However, the focus on provider price discounts has only partially improved
the efficiency and quality of the healthcare market. This is because the market
has not well addressed the other components of medical trend, such as the volume
and intensity of medical services. Volume refers to the number of services performed
to treat a specific medical condition (e.g., an office visit, two laboratory tests).
Intensity refers to the magnitude of medical care ordered to treat a medical condition
(e.g., an x-ray versus a computer tomography scan). Volume and intensity increase
now account for almost 50% of the annual trend rate. Improving Market
Efficiency and Quality We recognize the need to consider all components
of medical trend (not just price discounts), if efficiency and quality are to
be improved. We believe market efficiency will be improved once individual practitioner
efficiency and quality are accurately measured and individuals have knowledge
of--or are directed to--efficient, quality practitioners (see Quality
of Care Measurement). Most recent evidence has suggested that about
10%-to-20% of practitioners, across specialty types, practice inefficiently. The
small percentage of practitioners is responsible for driving up to 20% of the
unnecessary, excess medical expenditures incurred by employers and other healthcare
purchasers--equating to billions of dollars nationally. This finding translates
into significant expenditures for healthcare purchasers. For example, if an employer's
current healthcare expenses are about $4,500 per employee (and the employer has
5,000 employees), then this equates to $4.5 million in annual excess expenditures
for the employer ($4,500 per employee x 20% excess expenses x 5,000 employees).
Over a five-year period, the employer may experience about $30 million in excess
expenditures, on a compounded interest basis. Accuracy of Practitioner
Efficiency Measurement Systems To improve market efficiency, we first
need to apply a system that accurately measures individual practitioner efficiency
and quality. Recent evidence has demonstrated that leading practitioner efficiency
measurement systems have only about 30% agreement across measurement systems.
This means that when one system ranks a practitioner as "inefficient,"
only about 30% of the other systems ranked the same practitioner as inefficient.
The remaining 70% of systems ranked the same practitioner as "efficient"
(K. Grazier and J.W. Thomas. A Comparative Evaluation of Risk-Adjustment Methodologies
for Profiling Physician Practice Efficiency. A report to the Robert Wood Johnson
Foundation, September 2002). The findings
show that most existing measurement systems inaccurately identify inefficient
practitioners. Moreover, the chances of finding inefficient practitioners may
be random. These findings show that existing
systems have significant error in attempting to accurately identify inefficient
practitioners (see Efficiency
Measurement Errors in existing measurement systems). The error needs to
be eliminated, or significantly reduced, if purchasers are to save money by identifying
and dealing with inefficient practitioners. Every practitioner falsely measured
as efficient (or inefficient) leads to continued inefficiency in the healthcare
marketplace. Cave Consulting Group Approach Cave Consulting
Group's efficiency and quality measurement system is designed to reduce the current
errors in identifying inefficient practitioners. Consequently, we more accurately
measure a practitioner's efficiency, which will assist you in maximizing savings
and minimizing the impact from practitioner-patient disruption. An efficiency
measurement system developed and used by Cave Consulting Group is the "marketbasket
approach" of medical conditions. This approach has gone through over a decade
of research and development, and is widely published in academic and trade journals
(see Efficiency and Quality Measurement
references). Studies have addressed practitioner efficiency analyses, small area
variation analyses, physician feedback evaluations, capitation health-risk adjustments,
and practitioner process of care analyses. The approach has been used by many
HMOs and insurance carriers to examine network efficiency and quality of care. In
brief, we build and examine condition-specific, longitudinal episodes of care.
Next, we develop marketbaskets of the most common medical conditions for each
specialty type. Medical conditions are placed in a specialty-specific marketbasket
if they are a prevalent part of the particular specialty type's practice. The
medical conditions are selected for the marketbasket in work effort order--a
function of the prevalence rate and average medical condition charges. For
example, the marketbasket for general surgeons consists of about 15 medical conditions,
including the following: cystic breast disease, hemorrhoids, abdominal hernias,
and cholelithiasis. The marketbasket for obstetrics/gynecology also includes about
15 medical conditions, including the following: normal deliveries, complicated
deliveries, menstrual disorders, cervicitis, and menopausal symptoms. There
is not a good adjustment system available to make sicker patients appear healthier-and
healthier patients appear sicker. The best predictive models on the market today
explain only 20% to 30% of the variance in a patient's medical expenditures. This
means that 70% or more of the variance is unexplained, and may be attributed to
differences in patient health status. Consequently, including all-or almost all-patients
in practitioner efficiency and quality measurement will result in unstable and
inaccurate ratings. That is, observed practitioner efficiency differences actually
may be attributed to patient health status differences. An
advantage of the marketbasket approach over other efficiency methodologies is
that examining only common conditions and easier-to-treat patient episodes results
in a fair apples-to-apples comparison of each practitioner's practice patterns.
Therefore, the variation in treatment patterns is more highly correlated to practitioner
efficiency, and not to sicker or healthier patients. If we included the sickest
patients, only a handful of practitioners would be assigned these sickest patients--that
is, about 10% of all individuals drive about 70% of healthcare expenditures. There
is not a good adjustment system available to make these sicker patients appear
healthier--and healthier patients appear sicker. Consequently, including the
sickest patients significantly distorts the practice patterns of those few practitioners
that were assigned the sickest patient episodes of care--and practice pattern
differences generally are attributed to patient health status, and not to practitioner
efficiency differences. For a specific
medical condition, including patients of poorer health status significantly distorts
the practice patterns of those few physicians that treat the poorer health status
patients. Any observed practice pattern differences probably are attributed to
patient health status differences, and not to practitioner efficiency differences.
As with the marketbasket of items used to build the
consumer price index, the composition of medical conditions in each specialty-specific
marketbasket does not change over time. This means that any trend increase reflected
by the specialty-specific marketbasket is independent of changes in patient demographics
and health status. Instead, the trend reflects price increases, volume increases,
and intensity of service increases in the treatment of the static set of medical
conditions.
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2003 Cave Consulting Group, All Rights Reserved
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